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10 of 10 matches with xG: 30 goals from 18.9 xG (1.58 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter 3–1 Parma | 1.77–0.38 | 72% · 21% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Atalanta 2–1 AC Milan | 2.11–0.62 | 72% · 18% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Atalanta |
| Genoa 0–0 Torino | 0.57–0.59 | 28% · 43% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| Juventus 2–2 Bologna | 1.01–0.93 | 36% · 31% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| AS Roma 4–1 Lecce | 1.90–0.92 | 60% · 22% · 18% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
| Fiorentina 1–0 Cagliari | 0.32–0.80 | 14% · 42% · 45% | Won against the xG: Fiorentina |
| Hellas Verona 1–4 Empoli | 0.94–1.31 | 27% · 28% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Empoli |
| Venezia 2–2 Como | 0.32–1.05 | 11% · 35% · 54% | Draw against the xG: Como had 54% |
| Napoli 0–1 Lazio | 0.56–0.29 | 35% · 50% · 16% | Won against the xG: Lazio |
| Monza 1–2 Udinese | 1.32–1.22 | 39% · 27% · 34% | Close call, Udinese won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.