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10 of 10 matches with xG: 30 goals from 28.6 xG (1.05 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hellas Verona 0–1 AC Milan | 0.68–0.81 | 28% · 37% · 35% | Close call, AC Milan won |
| Torino 0–2 Bologna | 0.27–1.75 | 5% · 20% · 75% | Win in line with xG for Bologna |
| Genoa 1–2 Napoli | 0.96–1.29 | 28% · 28% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Napoli |
| Lecce 1–2 Lazio | 0.71–1.85 | 14% · 22% · 65% | Win in line with xG for Lazio |
| AS Roma 5–0 Parma | 5.44–0.39 | 98% · 1% · 0% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
| Venezia 2–1 Cagliari | 1.74–2.06 | 33% · 21% · 46% | Close call, Venezia won |
| Atalanta 3–2 Empoli | 1.35–1.32 | 38% · 26% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Atalanta |
| Monza 1–2 Juventus | 1.34–1.81 | 28% · 23% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Juventus |
| Fiorentina 1–2 Udinese | 2.04–0.88 | 64% · 20% · 15% | Won against the xG: Udinese |
| Inter 2–0 Como | 1.56–0.33 | 69% · 24% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.