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10 of 10 matches with xG: 29 goals from 29.1 xG (1.00 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli 1–2 Genoa | 1.34–1.77 | 29% · 23% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Genoa |
| Parma 2–1 Monza | 1.36–2.63 | 18% · 17% · 65% | Won against the xG: Parma |
| Cagliari 0–3 Inter | 0.31–3.52 | 1% · 5% · 93% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Lazio 1–1 Atalanta | 0.62–2.81 | 6% · 12% · 82% | Draw against the xG: Atalanta had 82% |
| Udinese 2–2 Torino | 0.68–0.58 | 33% · 41% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Napoli 1–0 Venezia | 1.97–0.21 | 80% · 16% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Napoli |
| Juventus 2–2 Fiorentina | 1.49–1.00 | 49% · 26% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| AC Milan 1–1 AS Roma | 1.88–1.38 | 49% · 22% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| Como 2–0 Lecce | 2.01–0.44 | 75% · 18% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Como |
| Bologna 2–3 Hellas Verona | 2.29–0.80 | 71% · 18% · 11% | Won against the xG: Hellas Verona |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.