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10 of 10 matches with xG: 19 goals from 22.8 xG (0.83 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venezia 1–1 Empoli | 0.94–1.78 | 20% · 23% · 57% | Draw against the xG: Empoli had 57% |
| Fiorentina 0–3 Napoli | 1.13–1.64 | 26% · 25% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Napoli |
| Hellas Verona 0–0 Udinese | 1.02–0.80 | 40% · 32% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| Monza 1–2 Cagliari | 1.58–0.85 | 55% · 25% · 20% | Won against the xG: Cagliari |
| Lecce 0–0 Genoa | 0.56–1.08 | 19% · 33% · 48% | Draw in line with xG |
| Torino 0–0 Parma | 1.08–0.38 | 53% · 34% · 13% | Draw against the xG: Torino had 53% |
| AS Roma 2–0 Lazio | 1.13–0.94 | 40% · 30% · 30% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
| Como 1–2 AC Milan | 1.27–1.30 | 36% · 27% · 37% | Win in line with xG for AC Milan |
| Atalanta 1–1 Juventus | 1.43–1.54 | 35% · 24% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| Inter 2–2 Bologna | 1.74–0.64 | 64% · 23% · 13% | Draw against the xG: Inter had 64% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.