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10 of 10 matches with xG: 21 goals from 22.9 xG (0.92 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio 1–1 Como | 0.53–1.91 | 9% · 20% · 71% | Draw against the xG: Como had 71% |
| Empoli 1–3 Lecce | 1.43–1.43 | 38% · 25% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Lecce |
| Udinese 0–0 Atalanta | 1.76–0.31 | 74% · 21% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Udinese had 74% |
| Torino 1–1 Juventus | 0.59–0.90 | 23% · 36% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
| AC Milan 1–1 Cagliari | 2.75–0.37 | 87% · 10% · 3% | Draw against the xG: AC Milan had 87% |
| Genoa 1–0 Parma | 1.19–0.46 | 54% · 31% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Genoa |
| Venezia 0–1 Inter | 0.41–1.90 | 7% · 19% · 74% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Bologna 2–2 AS Roma | 2.06–1.45 | 52% · 21% · 27% | Draw against the xG: Bologna had 52% |
| Napoli 2–0 Hellas Verona | 1.18–0.23 | 61% · 32% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Napoli |
| Monza 2–1 Fiorentina | 0.67–1.37 | 18% · 28% · 54% | Won against the xG: Monza |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.