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10 of 10 matches with xG: 36 goals from 22.6 xG (1.59 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma 3–1 Genoa | 1.57–0.50 | 64% · 25% · 12% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
| Bologna 3–1 Monza | 1.85–0.60 | 67% · 21% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Bologna |
| Juventus 2–0 AC Milan | 1.08–0.97 | 38% · 30% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Juventus |
| Atalanta 2–3 Napoli | 0.70–0.80 | 29% · 37% · 35% | Close call, Napoli won |
| Fiorentina 1–1 Torino | 1.52–0.40 | 66% · 25% · 9% | Draw against the xG: Fiorentina had 66% |
| Cagliari 4–1 Lecce | 2.62–0.50 | 83% · 12% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Cagliari |
| Parma 1–1 Venezia | 1.63–1.20 | 47% · 24% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| Hellas Verona 0–3 Lazio | 1.33–1.45 | 35% · 25% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Lazio |
| Inter 3–1 Empoli | 1.59–0.28 | 71% · 23% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Como 4–1 Udinese | 1.44–0.59 | 58% · 27% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Como |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.