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10 of 10 matches with xG: 29 goals from 26.2 xG (1.11 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Torino 2–0 Cagliari | 1.56–0.36 | 68% · 24% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Torino |
| Como 1–2 Atalanta | 0.77–1.00 | 27% · 33% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Atalanta |
| Napoli 2–1 Juventus | 2.37–0.78 | 73% · 17% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Napoli |
| Empoli 1–1 Bologna | 0.68–0.67 | 31% · 39% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| AC Milan 3–2 Parma | 2.32–1.66 | 53% · 20% · 28% | Win in line with xG for AC Milan |
| Udinese 1–2 AS Roma | 0.80–2.73 | 8% · 14% · 78% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
| Lecce 0–4 Inter | 0.88–2.03 | 15% · 20% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Lazio 1–2 Fiorentina | 1.41–0.73 | 53% · 27% · 19% | Won against the xG: Fiorentina |
| Venezia 1–1 Hellas Verona | 0.58–1.76 | 12% · 22% · 66% | Draw against the xG: Hellas Verona had 66% |
| Genoa 2–0 Monza | 2.66–0.43 | 85% · 11% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Genoa |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.