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10 of 10 matches with xG: 27 goals from 23.9 xG (1.13 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Como 1–2 Juventus | 0.95–1.14 | 30% · 30% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Juventus |
| Hellas Verona 0–5 Atalanta | 1.69–2.21 | 30% · 20% · 50% | Win in line with xG for Atalanta |
| Empoli 0–2 AC Milan | 0.58–1.32 | 16% · 29% · 55% | Win in line with xG for AC Milan |
| Torino 1–1 Genoa | 0.71–0.37 | 39% · 43% · 17% | Draw in line with xG |
| Venezia 0–1 AS Roma | 0.71–1.63 | 16% · 24% · 59% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
| Cagliari 2–1 Parma | 1.17–0.83 | 44% · 30% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Cagliari |
| Lazio 5–1 Monza | 3.19–0.89 | 82% · 11% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Lazio |
| Lecce 0–0 Bologna | 0.43–0.85 | 18% · 39% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| Napoli 1–1 Udinese | 1.14–0.79 | 44% · 31% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Inter 2–1 Fiorentina | 2.24–1.04 | 64% · 19% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.