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10 of 10 matches with xG: 19 goals from 20.9 xG (0.91 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna 3–2 Torino | 2.29–1.21 | 62% · 19% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Bologna |
| Atalanta 0–0 Cagliari | 0.44–0.18 | 31% · 58% · 11% | Draw in line with xG |
| Lazio 2–2 Napoli | 0.69–0.35 | 39% · 44% · 17% | Draw in line with xG |
| AC Milan 1–0 Hellas Verona | 2.15–0.37 | 79% · 16% · 5% | Win in line with xG for AC Milan |
| Fiorentina 0–2 Como | 0.25–0.78 | 11% · 43% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Como |
| Monza 0–0 Lecce | 0.23–0.93 | 9% · 38% · 53% | Draw against the xG: Lecce had 53% |
| Udinese 3–0 Empoli | 2.27–2.18 | 42% · 20% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Udinese |
| Parma 0–1 AS Roma | 0.26–1.12 | 9% · 33% · 58% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
| Juventus 1–0 Inter | 1.35–1.95 | 27% · 22% · 51% | Won against the xG: Juventus |
| Genoa 2–0 Venezia | 1.47–0.45 | 63% · 26% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Genoa |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.