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10 of 10 matches with xG: 21 goals from 23.2 xG (0.91 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce 0–1 Udinese | 0.32–1.61 | 7% · 23% · 70% | Win in line with xG for Udinese |
| Parma 2–0 Bologna | 1.23–0.67 | 50% · 30% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Parma |
| Venezia 0–0 Lazio | 0.98–1.10 | 32% · 30% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| Torino 2–1 AC Milan | 0.36–2.45 | 4% · 13% · 84% | Won against the xG: Torino |
| Inter 1–0 Genoa | 1.52–1.11 | 47% · 26% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Como 2–1 Napoli | 0.61–1.26 | 18% · 30% · 52% | Won against the xG: Como |
| Hellas Verona 1–0 Fiorentina | 1.16–1.37 | 32% · 27% · 42% | Close call, Hellas Verona won |
| Empoli 0–5 Atalanta | 1.05–2.19 | 17% · 20% · 63% | Win in line with xG for Atalanta |
| Cagliari 0–1 Juventus | 0.35–2.13 | 5% · 16% · 79% | Win in line with xG for Juventus |
| AS Roma 4–0 Monza | 1.47–0.22 | 70% · 25% · 5% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.