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10 of 10 matches with xG: 19 goals from 26.2 xG (0.72 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina 1–0 Lecce | 1.69–0.78 | 59% · 24% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Fiorentina |
| Atalanta 0–0 Venezia | 1.94–0.89 | 62% · 21% · 17% | Draw against the xG: Atalanta had 62% |
| Napoli 1–1 Inter | 1.81–0.32 | 74% · 20% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Napoli had 74% |
| Udinese 1–0 Parma | 2.37–0.78 | 73% · 17% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Udinese |
| Monza 0–2 Torino | 1.11–1.20 | 34% · 28% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Torino |
| Bologna 2–1 Cagliari | 2.15–0.55 | 75% · 17% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Bologna |
| Genoa 1–1 Empoli | 0.36–0.91 | 14% · 38% · 48% | Draw in line with xG |
| AS Roma 2–1 Como | 1.36–1.20 | 41% · 27% · 33% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
| AC Milan 1–2 Lazio | 1.45–3.08 | 15% · 15% · 70% | Win in line with xG for Lazio |
| Juventus 2–0 Hellas Verona | 1.99–0.28 | 79% · 17% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Juventus |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.