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10 of 10 matches with xG: 30 goals from 24.9 xG (1.21 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari 0–2 Empoli | 2.30–0.84 | 70% · 18% · 12% | Won against the xG: Empoli |
| Hellas Verona 2–3 Torino | 0.50–2.29 | 6% · 15% · 78% | Win in line with xG for Torino |
| Venezia 2–0 Genoa | 1.66–0.50 | 66% · 23% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Venezia |
| Juventus 0–0 Napoli | 0.31–0.31 | 20% · 59% · 20% | Draw in line with xG |
| Lecce 2–2 Parma | 1.51–2.11 | 28% · 21% · 51% | Draw against the xG: Parma had 51% |
| Fiorentina 2–1 Lazio | 2.78–1.05 | 73% · 15% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Fiorentina |
| Monza 1–2 Bologna | 0.57–0.76 | 25% · 39% · 36% | Close call, Bologna won |
| AS Roma 3–0 Udinese | 1.90–0.73 | 65% · 21% · 14% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
| Inter 1–2 AC Milan | 0.73–1.70 | 16% · 24% · 61% | Win in line with xG for AC Milan |
| Atalanta 2–3 Como | 1.56–0.75 | 57% · 25% · 18% | Won against the xG: Como |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.