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10 of 10 matches with xG: 29 goals from 29.5 xG (0.98 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli 3–1 Como | 1.91–0.37 | 75% · 19% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Napoli |
| Hellas Verona 2–1 Venezia | 2.40–0.90 | 71% · 17% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Hellas Verona |
| Udinese 1–0 Lecce | 0.87–0.51 | 42% · 38% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Udinese |
| Atalanta 5–1 Genoa | 3.65–0.73 | 89% · 8% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Atalanta |
| Inter 3–2 Torino | 2.44–1.61 | 56% · 19% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Juventus 1–1 Cagliari | 2.46–1.12 | 67% · 18% · 16% | Draw against the xG: Juventus had 67% |
| Bologna 0–0 Parma | 0.80–0.77 | 33% · 36% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Lazio 2–1 Empoli | 2.10–0.55 | 74% · 18% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Lazio |
| Monza 1–1 AS Roma | 1.12–1.07 | 37% · 29% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
| Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan | 1.47–2.67 | 20% · 17% · 63% | Won against the xG: Fiorentina |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.