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10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 20.2 xG (1.29 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Como 1–1 Parma | 1.28–0.51 | 56% · 30% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Como had 56% |
| Genoa 2–2 Bologna | 0.42–0.67 | 20% · 44% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| AC Milan 1–0 Udinese | 1.18–0.44 | 55% · 31% · 14% | Win in line with xG for AC Milan |
| Juventus 1–0 Lazio | 1.35–0.07 | 72% · 27% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Juventus |
| Empoli 0–1 Napoli | 0.69–1.41 | 18% · 27% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Napoli |
| Lecce 0–6 Fiorentina | 0.20–2.24 | 2% · 13% · 85% | Win in line with xG for Fiorentina |
| Venezia 0–2 Atalanta | 0.79–1.40 | 21% · 27% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Atalanta |
| Cagliari 3–2 Torino | 1.67–1.44 | 43% · 24% · 33% | Win in line with xG for Cagliari |
| AS Roma 0–1 Inter | 1.04–1.04 | 35% · 30% · 35% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Hellas Verona 0–3 Monza | 0.93–1.39 | 25% · 27% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Monza |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.