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10 of 10 matches with xG: 18 goals from 22.5 xG (0.80 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pisa 1–0 Cremonese | 0.92–0.97 | 33% · 32% · 35% | Close call, Pisa won |
| Como 0–0 Cagliari | 1.06–0.64 | 45% · 33% · 22% | Draw in line with xG |
| Lecce 0–0 Hellas Verona | 0.49–0.65 | 23% · 43% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
| Juventus 0–0 Torino | 1.21–0.54 | 53% · 31% · 17% | Draw against the xG: Juventus had 53% |
| Parma 2–2 AC Milan | 1.88–1.95 | 38% · 21% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
| Atalanta 0–3 Sassuolo | 0.91–1.81 | 19% · 23% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Sassuolo |
| Bologna 2–0 Napoli | 0.92–0.24 | 52% · 39% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Bologna |
| Genoa 2–2 Fiorentina | 1.58–1.56 | 39% · 24% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| AS Roma 2–0 Udinese | 1.53–1.08 | 48% · 26% · 27% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
| Inter 2–0 Lazio | 1.91–0.63 | 68% · 21% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.