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10 of 10 matches with xG: 35 goals from 28.2 xG (1.24 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari 3–3 Genoa | 0.90–1.42 | 24% · 27% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| Udinese 0–3 Bologna | 1.46–2.22 | 25% · 20% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Bologna |
| Fiorentina 1–1 Juventus | 0.58–1.50 | 14% · 26% · 60% | Draw against the xG: Juventus had 60% |
| Napoli 3–1 Atalanta | 1.58–0.78 | 56% · 25% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Napoli |
| Hellas Verona 1–2 Parma | 0.63–1.44 | 16% · 27% · 57% | Win in line with xG for Parma |
| Cremonese 1–3 AS Roma | 0.89–1.90 | 17% · 22% · 61% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
| Lazio 2–0 Lecce | 1.89–0.62 | 68% · 21% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Lazio |
| Inter 0–1 AC Milan | 1.92–1.01 | 59% · 22% · 19% | Won against the xG: AC Milan |
| Torino 1–5 Como | 1.34–2.81 | 16% · 16% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Como |
| Sassuolo 2–2 Pisa | 1.76–1.54 | 43% · 23% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.