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10 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 29.9 xG (0.77 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Como 2–0 Sassuolo | 1.81–0.78 | 62% · 22% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Como |
| Genoa 2–1 Hellas Verona | 1.75–2.28 | 30% · 20% · 50% | Won against the xG: Genoa |
| Parma 0–2 Udinese | 0.96–1.74 | 21% · 24% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Udinese |
| Juventus 2–1 Cagliari | 1.71–0.54 | 66% · 23% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Juventus |
| AC Milan 1–0 Lazio | 1.47–0.68 | 56% · 27% · 17% | Win in line with xG for AC Milan |
| Lecce 2–1 Torino | 1.00–1.74 | 22% · 24% · 55% | Won against the xG: Lecce |
| Pisa 0–2 Inter | 1.72–2.00 | 34% · 21% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Atalanta 2–0 Fiorentina | 1.60–1.58 | 39% · 24% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Atalanta |
| AS Roma 0–1 Napoli | 0.52–1.17 | 16% · 32% · 52% | Win in line with xG for Napoli |
| Bologna 1–3 Cremonese | 2.72–2.13 | 51% · 18% · 31% | Close call, Cremonese won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.