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10 of 10 matches with xG: 29 goals from 24.7 xG (1.18 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo 3–1 Fiorentina | 1.00–1.21 | 30% · 29% · 41% | Close call, Sassuolo won |
| Inter 4–0 Como | 1.42–1.02 | 46% · 27% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Hellas Verona 3–1 Atalanta | 0.99–1.47 | 25% · 26% · 48% | Won against the xG: Hellas Verona |
| Cremonese 2–0 Lecce | 2.08–0.92 | 64% · 20% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Cremonese |
| Cagliari 1–0 AS Roma | 1.80–0.36 | 73% · 20% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Cagliari |
| Lazio 1–1 Bologna | 1.21–1.11 | 38% · 28% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Napoli 2–1 Juventus | 1.66–0.29 | 72% · 22% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Napoli |
| Pisa 0–1 Parma | 1.52–1.18 | 45% · 25% · 30% | Won against the xG: Parma |
| Udinese 1–2 Genoa | 1.17–1.57 | 28% · 25% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Genoa |
| Torino 2–3 AC Milan | 1.03–1.67 | 23% · 24% · 52% | Win in line with xG for AC Milan |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.