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10 of 10 matches with xG: 19 goals from 23.2 xG (0.82 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce 1–0 Pisa | 2.20–0.22 | 84% · 14% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Lecce |
| Torino 1–0 Cremonese | 1.05–0.69 | 44% · 33% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Torino |
| Parma 0–1 Lazio | 1.08–1.35 | 30% · 27% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Lazio |
| Atalanta 2–1 Cagliari | 2.49–0.54 | 80% · 14% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Atalanta |
| AC Milan 2–2 Sassuolo | 1.45–1.07 | 46% · 26% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| Fiorentina 1–2 Hellas Verona | 1.71–0.94 | 56% · 24% · 21% | Won against the xG: Hellas Verona |
| Udinese 1–0 Napoli | 1.31–0.93 | 45% · 28% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Udinese |
| Genoa 1–2 Inter | 0.97–1.27 | 28% · 28% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Bologna 0–1 Juventus | 0.55–1.68 | 12% · 23% · 65% | Win in line with xG for Juventus |
| AS Roma 1–0 Como | 1.15–0.55 | 51% · 32% · 18% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.