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10 of 10 matches with xG: 25 goals from 26.3 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio 0–0 Cremonese | 0.41–0.69 | 19% · 43% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
| Juventus 2–1 AS Roma | 2.55–1.44 | 62% · 18% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Juventus |
| Cagliari 2–2 Pisa | 1.43–2.54 | 20% · 18% · 62% | Draw against the xG: Pisa had 62% |
| Sassuolo 0–1 Torino | 0.43–1.71 | 9% · 22% · 69% | Win in line with xG for Torino |
| Fiorentina 5–1 Udinese | 3.20–0.64 | 86% · 9% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Fiorentina |
| Genoa 0–1 Atalanta | 0.81–1.44 | 21% · 27% · 52% | Win in line with xG for Atalanta |
| Napoli 0–0 Parma | 1.37–0.18 | 69% · 27% · 5% | Draw against the xG: Napoli had 69% |
| Inter 1–0 Lecce | 1.83–0.48 | 70% · 21% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Hellas Verona 2–3 Bologna | 1.20–0.79 | 46% · 30% · 24% | Won against the xG: Bologna |
| Como 1–3 AC Milan | 1.87–1.28 | 51% · 23% · 26% | Won against the xG: AC Milan |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.