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10 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 23.1 xG (1.00 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parma 1–0 Fiorentina | 0.95–1.23 | 28% · 29% · 43% | Close call, Parma won |
| Lecce 0–3 Como | 0.76–1.63 | 17% · 25% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Como |
| Torino 1–2 Cagliari | 1.60–0.77 | 57% · 25% · 18% | Won against the xG: Cagliari |
| Udinese 1–1 Lazio | 0.87–0.54 | 41% · 37% · 22% | Draw in line with xG |
| Pisa 0–2 Juventus | 0.65–1.74 | 13% · 23% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Juventus |
| AC Milan 3–0 Hellas Verona | 2.43–0.39 | 83% · 13% · 4% | Win in line with xG for AC Milan |
| Cremonese 0–2 Napoli | 0.46–2.54 | 5% · 13% · 82% | Win in line with xG for Napoli |
| Bologna 1–1 Sassuolo | 0.88–1.62 | 20% · 25% · 55% | Draw against the xG: Sassuolo had 55% |
| Atalanta 0–1 Inter | 0.80–1.12 | 26% · 31% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| AS Roma 3–1 Genoa | 1.37–0.71 | 53% · 28% · 19% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.