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10 of 10 matches with xG: 28 goals from 25.8 xG (1.08 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan 2–2 Pisa | 1.54–1.42 | 40% · 24% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| Parma 0–0 Como | 0.57–0.43 | 32% · 46% · 22% | Draw in line with xG |
| Udinese 3–2 Lecce | 1.03–0.38 | 52% · 35% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Udinese |
| Napoli 3–1 Inter | 1.25–1.89 | 25% · 22% · 52% | Won against the xG: Napoli |
| Cremonese 1–1 Atalanta | 1.12–1.15 | 35% · 29% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| Torino 2–1 Genoa | 1.35–1.90 | 27% · 22% · 50% | Won against the xG: Torino |
| Sassuolo 0–1 AS Roma | 1.06–1.74 | 23% · 24% · 53% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
| Hellas Verona 2–2 Cagliari | 2.02–0.44 | 75% · 18% · 7% | Draw against the xG: Hellas Verona had 75% |
| Fiorentina 2–2 Bologna | 3.72–0.55 | 92% · 6% · 2% | Draw against the xG: Fiorentina had 92% |
| Lazio 1–0 Juventus | 0.78–1.49 | 20% · 26% · 54% | Won against the xG: Lazio |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.