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10 of 10 matches with xG: 22 goals from 22.4 xG (0.98 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce 0–1 Napoli | 1.16–0.83 | 43% · 30% · 26% | Won against the xG: Napoli |
| Atalanta 1–1 AC Milan | 1.34–0.36 | 62% · 28% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Atalanta had 62% |
| Como 3–1 Hellas Verona | 1.50–1.52 | 37% · 24% · 38% | Close call, Como won |
| Juventus 3–1 Udinese | 3.17–0.54 | 88% · 9% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Juventus |
| AS Roma 2–1 Parma | 1.01–1.21 | 31% · 29% · 41% | Close call, AS Roma won |
| Bologna 0–0 Torino | 0.43–0.54 | 23% · 47% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Genoa 0–2 Cremonese | 1.31–1.39 | 35% · 26% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Cremonese |
| Inter 3–0 Fiorentina | 2.63–0.72 | 78% · 14% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Cagliari 1–2 Sassuolo | 0.72–0.56 | 35% · 40% · 25% | Close call, Sassuolo won |
| Pisa 0–0 Lazio | 0.93–0.48 | 45% · 37% · 18% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.