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10 of 10 matches with xG: 35 goals from 34.0 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frosinone 4–2 Sassuolo | 2.08–1.92 | 43% · 21% · 37% | Win in line with xG for Frosinone |
| Venezia 1–0 Napoli | 0.98–2.36 | 14% · 18% · 68% | Won against the xG: Venezia |
| Bologna 1–3 Inter | 1.00–3.16 | 8% · 12% · 80% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| AS Roma 2–0 Genoa | 1.33–0.47 | 58% · 29% · 13% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
| Udinese 0–3 Lecce | 0.54–3.47 | 3% · 7% · 90% | Win in line with xG for Lecce |
| Fiorentina 1–3 Como | 2.11–1.59 | 50% · 21% · 29% | Won against the xG: Como |
| AC Milan 3–2 Atalanta | 2.58–1.74 | 56% · 18% · 25% | Win in line with xG for AC Milan |
| Juventus 0–3 Lazio | 0.75–0.57 | 36% · 39% · 25% | Close call, Lazio won |
| Monza 4–0 Cagliari | 2.10–2.11 | 40% · 20% · 40% | Close call, Monza won |
| Parma 0–3 Torino | 1.61–1.58 | 39% · 23% · 38% | Close call, Torino won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.