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10 of 10 matches with xG: 34 goals from 30.0 xG (1.13 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Torino 3–2 Monza | 1.40–0.68 | 54% · 28% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Torino |
| Cagliari 0–2 Bologna | 0.44–1.64 | 9% · 23% · 67% | Win in line with xG for Bologna |
| Como 2–0 Sassuolo | 1.69–0.26 | 74% · 21% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Como |
| Napoli 3–3 AS Roma | 2.42–1.92 | 50% · 19% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Lazio 2–1 Parma | 1.82–0.87 | 60% · 23% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Lazio |
| Inter 2–1 Fiorentina | 2.94–0.25 | 91% · 8% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Atalanta 4–4 Frosinone | 3.89–1.81 | 75% · 12% · 13% | Draw against the xG: Atalanta had 75% |
| Genoa 1–0 Venezia | 0.41–1.82 | 8% · 20% · 72% | Won against the xG: Genoa |
| Lecce 0–2 Juventus | 1.02–1.13 | 32% · 29% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Juventus |
| Udinese 0–2 AC Milan | 0.46–3.15 | 3% · 8% · 89% | Win in line with xG for AC Milan |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.