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10 of 10 matches with xG: 20 goals from 21.6 xG (0.92 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spezia 1–1 Bari | 1.56–0.87 | 54% · 25% · 21% | Draw against the xG: Spezia had 54% |
| Reggiana 0–0 Virtus Entella | 1.13–1.06 | 37% · 29% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
| Empoli 1–0 Catanzaro | 1.57–0.23 | 72% · 23% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Empoli |
| Frosinone 2–2 Modena | 0.77–1.52 | 19% · 26% · 55% | Draw against the xG: Modena had 55% |
| Mantova 1–0 Padova | 1.63–0.33 | 70% · 23% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Mantova |
| Sudtirol 1–1 Carrarese | 0.34–2.16 | 5% · 15% · 80% | Draw against the xG: Carrarese had 80% |
| Juve Stabia 1–0 Palermo | 0.78–0.23 | 46% · 43% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Juve Stabia |
| Venezia 3–1 Sampdoria | 1.56–0.65 | 59% · 25% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Venezia |
| Cesena 3–0 Avellino | 1.25–0.47 | 56% · 30% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Cesena |
| Pescara 0–2 Monza | 0.61–2.92 | 5% · 11% · 84% | Win in line with xG for Monza |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.