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9 of 10 matches with xG: 19 goals from 31.0 xG (0.61 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella 1–1 Palermo | 2.94–1.79 | 61% · 17% · 22% | Draw against the xG: Virtus Entella had 61% |
| Carrarese 0–0 Reggiana | 0.88–2.35 | 12% · 17% · 70% | Draw against the xG: Reggiana had 70% |
| Avellino 0–3 Empoli | 1.10–1.47 | 28% · 26% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Empoli |
| Padova 0–2 Venezia | 0.60–1.86 | 11% · 21% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Venezia |
| Bari 2–3 Frosinone | 0.98–3.80 | 5% · 8% · 86% | Win in line with xG for Frosinone |
| Modena 0–0 Sudtirol | 2.33–0.70 | 74% · 17% · 9% | Draw against the xG: Modena had 74% |
| Mantova 4–1 Spezia | 3.18–2.62 | 51% · 17% · 33% | Win in line with xG for Mantova |
| Monza 1–0 Cesena | 1.16–0.63 | 49% · 31% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Monza |
| Sampdoria 1–0 Juve Stabia | 1.81–0.78 | 62% · 22% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Sampdoria |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.