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2 of 10 matches with xG: 5 goals from 6.2 xG (0.80 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Modena 1–2 Monza | 1.91–1.41 | 49% · 22% · 28% | Won against the xG: Monza |
| Catanzaro 2–0 Cesena | 1.79–1.12 | 53% · 23% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Catanzaro |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.