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10 of 10 matches with xG: 28 goals from 28.1 xG (1.00 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia 1–1 Cesena | 1.65–1.18 | 48% · 24% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Carrarese 0–1 Benevento | 0.83–1.25 | 25% · 29% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Benevento |
| Cremonese 0–0 Virtus Entella | 1.01–1.02 | 34% · 31% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| Palermo 2–1 Padova | 2.51–1.18 | 66% · 18% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Palermo |
| Sampdoria 2–1 Catanzaro | 2.83–1.43 | 67% · 16% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Sampdoria |
| Ascoli 3–1 Avellino | 1.06–0.85 | 40% · 31% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Ascoli |
| Arezzo 1–4 Sudtirol | 1.73–1.09 | 52% · 24% · 24% | Won against the xG: Sudtirol |
| Hellas Verona 2–1 Vicenza Virtus | 0.97–0.90 | 36% · 32% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Hellas Verona |
| Mantova 2–2 Pisa | 1.98–2.18 | 36% · 20% · 44% | Draw in line with xG |
| Modena 2–1 Empoli | 1.72–0.71 | 62% · 23% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Modena |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.