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10 of 10 matches with xG: 30 goals from 30.1 xG (1.00 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hellas Verona 2–2 Catanzaro | 1.89–1.18 | 54% · 22% · 24% | Draw against the xG: Hellas Verona had 54% |
| Ascoli 1–1 Empoli | 1.55–0.80 | 55% · 26% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Ascoli had 55% |
| Benevento 2–2 Vicenza Virtus | 1.92–1.18 | 55% · 22% · 23% | Draw against the xG: Benevento had 55% |
| Carrarese 2–1 Modena | 1.74–1.01 | 55% · 24% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Carrarese |
| Padova 1–2 Virtus Entella | 0.76–1.69 | 17% · 24% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Virtus Entella |
| Mantova 0–2 Palermo | 1.84–1.94 | 37% · 21% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Palermo |
| Pisa 3–1 Cremonese | 2.31–0.44 | 80% · 15% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Pisa |
| Juve Stabia 3–0 Sudtirol | 2.73–0.28 | 88% · 9% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Juve Stabia |
| Cesena 1–1 Avellino | 2.09–1.13 | 59% · 21% · 20% | Draw against the xG: Cesena had 59% |
| Sampdoria 1–2 Arezzo | 2.65–0.95 | 74% · 15% · 11% | Won against the xG: Arezzo |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.