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J1 League 2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 10

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Matches

Matchday 10 in xG

10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 30.0 xG (0.87 goals per xG).

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
JEF United Chiba 1–1 Mito Hollyhock1.39–0.7752% · 28% · 21%Draw against the xG: JEF United Chiba had 52%
Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 V-varen Nagasaki1.51–0.0875% · 23% · 2%Win in line with xG for Avispa Fukuoka
Machida Zelvia 1–0 Kashiwa Reysol2.86–0.4686% · 10% · 4%Win in line with xG for Machida Zelvia
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Shimizu S-pulse3.08–0.5986% · 10% · 4%Draw against the xG: Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 86%
Vissel Kobe 3–2 Nagoya Grampus2.22–0.9167% · 19% · 14%Win in line with xG for Vissel Kobe
Yokohama F. Marinos 1–3 FC Tokyo0.76–1.3421% · 28% · 51%Win in line with xG for FC Tokyo
Gamba Osaka 0–1 Cerezo Osaka2.16–1.1959% · 20% · 20%Won against the xG: Cerezo Osaka
Kyoto Sanga 5–1 Fagiano Okayama2.74–2.3448% · 18% · 34%Win in line with xG for Kyoto Sanga
Urawa 1–1 Tokyo Verdy1.68–1.2348% · 24% · 28%Draw in line with xG
Kawasaki Frontale 0–2 Kashima1.24–1.4932% · 25% · 43%Win in line with xG for Kashima

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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Matchday 9 · Matchday 11

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