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5 of 10 matches with xG: 10 goals from 12.8 xG (0.78 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yokohama F. Marinos 1–2 Kawasaki Frontale | 1.22–0.70 | 49% · 30% · 21% | Won against the xG: Kawasaki Frontale |
| Kashima 1–0 Urawa | 1.39–1.06 | 44% · 27% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Kashima |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 V-varen Nagasaki | 2.70–0.25 | 89% · 9% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
| Tokyo Verdy 1–0 JEF United Chiba | 1.63–0.24 | 73% · 22% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Tokyo Verdy |
| Cerezo Osaka 3–0 Kyoto Sanga | 1.95–1.62 | 46% · 22% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Cerezo Osaka |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.