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4 of 10 matches with xG: 8 goals from 7.8 xG (1.02 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tokyo Verdy 1–0 Kashiwa Reysol | 0.77–0.56 | 37% · 39% · 24% | Close call, Tokyo Verdy won |
| Cerezo Osaka 1–1 Avispa Fukuoka | 1.00–0.49 | 47% · 35% · 18% | Draw in line with xG |
| Kashima 1–1 Machida Zelvia | 1.03–1.32 | 29% · 28% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| V-varen Nagasaki 1–2 Nagoya Grampus | 1.98–0.66 | 69% · 20% · 11% | Won against the xG: Nagoya Grampus |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.