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10 of 10 matches with xG: 27 goals from 26.4 xG (1.02 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mito Hollyhock 1–4 Urawa | 0.48–2.63 | 5% · 12% · 83% | Win in line with xG for Urawa |
| Cerezo Osaka 3–2 V-varen Nagasaki | 3.71–2.39 | 63% · 15% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Cerezo Osaka |
| Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Avispa Fukuoka | 0.39–0.42 | 23% · 52% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Vissel Kobe 0–3 Fagiano Okayama | 1.64–0.80 | 57% · 24% · 18% | Won against the xG: Fagiano Okayama |
| Yokohama F. Marinos 1–1 Kashima | 1.41–0.54 | 59% · 27% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Yokohama F. Marinos had 59% |
| FC Tokyo 2–1 Tokyo Verdy | 1.81–1.38 | 48% · 23% · 29% | Win in line with xG for FC Tokyo |
| Gamba Osaka 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1.45–0.56 | 59% · 27% · 14% | Won against the xG: Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
| Kashiwa Reysol 1–0 Kawasaki Frontale | 1.20–1.04 | 40% · 29% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Kashiwa Reysol |
| Nagoya Grampus 3–0 Kyoto Sanga | 1.45–0.78 | 53% · 27% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Nagoya Grampus |
| JEF United Chiba 0–2 Machida Zelvia | 0.73–1.63 | 17% · 24% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Machida Zelvia |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.