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10 of 10 matches with xG: 32 goals from 34.4 xG (0.93 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia 2–1 JEF United Chiba | 2.64–1.31 | 66% · 17% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Machida Zelvia |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Kyoto Sanga | 2.33–1.51 | 56% · 20% · 24% | Won against the xG: Kyoto Sanga |
| Vissel Kobe 2–1 Avispa Fukuoka | 2.71–0.67 | 80% · 13% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Vissel Kobe |
| Yokohama F. Marinos 3–2 Tokyo Verdy | 1.26–1.15 | 39% · 28% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Yokohama F. Marinos |
| Urawa 2–3 Kashima | 1.94–2.15 | 36% · 20% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Kashima |
| FC Tokyo 0–2 Kashiwa Reysol | 2.36–1.02 | 67% · 18% · 15% | Won against the xG: Kashiwa Reysol |
| Gamba Osaka 2–2 Shimizu S-pulse | 1.59–1.17 | 47% · 25% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| V-varen Nagasaki 1–0 Cerezo Osaka | 1.95–1.45 | 49% · 22% · 29% | Win in line with xG for V-varen Nagasaki |
| Fagiano Okayama 1–1 Nagoya Grampus | 1.90–1.23 | 53% · 22% · 25% | Draw against the xG: Fagiano Okayama had 53% |
| Kawasaki Frontale 2–2 Mito Hollyhock | 2.06–2.02 | 41% · 20% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.