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10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 23.1 xG (1.12 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cerezo Osaka 1–2 Fagiano Okayama | 0.37–1.19 | 11% · 31% · 57% | Win in line with xG for Fagiano Okayama |
| Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Shimizu S-pulse | 0.67–0.76 | 28% · 38% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
| JEF United Chiba 1–2 FC Tokyo | 1.42–3.03 | 15% · 15% · 70% | Win in line with xG for FC Tokyo |
| Mito Hollyhock 1–0 Yokohama F. Marinos | 1.40–0.34 | 64% · 27% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Mito Hollyhock |
| Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1.65–0.49 | 66% · 23% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Nagoya Grampus |
| Tokyo Verdy 0–2 Kawasaki Frontale | 0.53–1.04 | 19% · 34% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Kawasaki Frontale |
| Vissel Kobe 2–2 Gamba Osaka | 0.69–1.10 | 23% · 32% · 45% | Draw in line with xG |
| V-varen Nagasaki 1–2 Kyoto Sanga | 1.05–2.34 | 16% · 18% · 66% | Win in line with xG for Kyoto Sanga |
| Machida Zelvia 0–3 Kashima | 1.12–1.60 | 27% · 25% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Kashima |
| Urawa 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol | 1.46–0.90 | 50% · 27% · 23% | Draw against the xG: Urawa had 50% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.