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10 of 10 matches with xG: 27 goals from 26.6 xG (1.02 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fagiano Okayama 0–1 V-varen Nagasaki | 1.02–0.63 | 44% · 34% · 22% | Won against the xG: V-varen Nagasaki |
| Avispa Fukuoka 2–2 Gamba Osaka | 2.54–1.48 | 61% · 18% · 21% | Draw against the xG: Avispa Fukuoka had 61% |
| Shimizu S-pulse 3–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1.47–1.43 | 39% · 25% · 37% | Win in line with xG for Shimizu S-pulse |
| Kyoto Sanga 1–1 Nagoya Grampus | 1.65–1.32 | 45% · 24% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Tokyo Verdy 0–0 FC Tokyo | 0.51–0.62 | 25% · 43% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Cerezo Osaka 1–1 Vissel Kobe | 1.29–0.46 | 57% · 29% · 13% | Draw against the xG: Cerezo Osaka had 57% |
| Kashima 2–1 JEF United Chiba | 1.32–0.68 | 52% · 29% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Kashima |
| Kawasaki Frontale 0–5 Yokohama F. Marinos | 2.01–3.24 | 22% · 16% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Yokohama F. Marinos |
| Kashiwa Reysol 3–0 Mito Hollyhock | 2.08–0.47 | 75% · 18% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Kashiwa Reysol |
| Urawa 1–2 Machida Zelvia | 0.63–1.71 | 13% · 23% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Machida Zelvia |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.