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9 of 9 matches with xG: 24 goals from 29.6 xG (0.81 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vitesse 1–1 PEC Zwolle | 2.54–0.19 | 88% · 10% · 2% | Draw against the xG: Vitesse had 88% |
| Heerenveen 3–0 Heracles | 1.85–0.72 | 64% · 22% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Heerenveen |
| Almere City FC 0–0 Go Ahead Eagles | 0.82–0.52 | 40% · 39% · 22% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sparta Rotterdam 2–0 Waalwijk | 1.76–1.02 | 55% · 23% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Sparta Rotterdam |
| Fortuna Sittard 0–0 Utrecht | 1.68–0.91 | 56% · 24% · 20% | Draw against the xG: Fortuna Sittard had 56% |
| Twente 2–1 Feyenoord | 1.50–1.48 | 38% · 24% · 37% | Win in line with xG for Twente |
| FC Volendam 3–1 Excelsior | 3.72–1.42 | 79% · 11% · 10% | Win in line with xG for FC Volendam |
| PSV Eindhoven 5–2 Ajax | 4.31–1.99 | 77% · 11% · 13% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| AZ Alkmaar 1–2 NEC Nijmegen | 2.59–0.60 | 80% · 13% · 6% | Won against the xG: NEC Nijmegen |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.