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9 of 9 matches with xG: 35 goals from 31.0 xG (1.13 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heracles 0–6 PSV Eindhoven | 0.77–5.09 | 1% · 3% · 95% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| Waalwijk 1–2 Feyenoord | 0.48–4.19 | 1% · 4% · 95% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
| Excelsior 1–1 AZ Alkmaar | 1.95–0.79 | 65% · 21% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Excelsior had 65% |
| Go Ahead Eagles 5–1 Vitesse | 2.67–0.59 | 81% · 13% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Go Ahead Eagles |
| Utrecht 1–1 Twente | 0.79–1.20 | 24% · 30% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| PEC Zwolle 2–0 Fortuna Sittard | 1.66–0.84 | 57% · 24% · 19% | Win in line with xG for PEC Zwolle |
| NEC Nijmegen 3–3 FC Volendam | 2.00–1.54 | 49% · 22% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Ajax 4–1 Heerenveen | 2.21–1.25 | 59% · 20% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Ajax |
| Sparta Rotterdam 1–2 Almere City FC | 1.53–1.43 | 40% · 24% · 36% | Close call, Almere City FC won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.