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9 of 9 matches with xG: 34 goals from 25.7 xG (1.32 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Sittard 4–1 Heracles | 1.49–0.88 | 52% · 26% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Fortuna Sittard |
| Waalwijk 0–1 Go Ahead Eagles | 1.55–0.84 | 54% · 26% · 20% | Won against the xG: Go Ahead Eagles |
| Twente 3–3 NEC Nijmegen | 3.25–1.55 | 71% · 14% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Twente had 71% |
| Vitesse 1–3 Heerenveen | 0.53–2.30 | 7% · 16% · 77% | Win in line with xG for Heerenveen |
| PSV Eindhoven 4–0 PEC Zwolle | 1.87–0.26 | 77% · 18% · 4% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| FC Volendam 1–4 Sparta Rotterdam | 0.90–2.08 | 15% · 20% · 65% | Win in line with xG for Sparta Rotterdam |
| Almere City FC 2–2 Ajax | 2.61–2.17 | 49% · 18% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Feyenoord 1–0 AZ Alkmaar | 0.57–0.29 | 35% · 50% · 15% | Close call, Feyenoord won |
| Utrecht 2–2 Excelsior | 0.71–1.83 | 14% · 22% · 64% | Draw against the xG: Excelsior had 64% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.