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9 of 9 matches with xG: 33 goals from 31.1 xG (1.06 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior 2–4 Feyenoord | 1.29–4.53 | 5% · 7% · 88% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
| Twente 0–3 PSV Eindhoven | 0.44–1.97 | 7% · 19% · 74% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| Heerenveen 3–0 Fortuna Sittard | 2.87–0.51 | 85% · 11% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Heerenveen |
| PEC Zwolle 1–2 Waalwijk | 0.97–1.51 | 24% · 26% · 50% | Win in line with xG for Waalwijk |
| Ajax 5–0 Vitesse | 2.86–0.53 | 85% · 11% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Ajax |
| Almere City FC 0–5 Heracles | 1.06–3.21 | 9% · 12% · 79% | Win in line with xG for Heracles |
| AZ Alkmaar 3–0 FC Volendam | 3.64–0.39 | 93% · 5% · 2% | Win in line with xG for AZ Alkmaar |
| NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Go Ahead Eagles | 1.01–0.96 | 36% · 31% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sparta Rotterdam 1–2 Utrecht | 2.27–1.07 | 64% · 19% · 17% | Won against the xG: Utrecht |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.