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9 of 9 matches with xG: 33 goals from 23.1 xG (1.43 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waalwijk 2–1 FC Volendam | 0.61–1.39 | 16% · 28% · 56% | Won against the xG: Waalwijk |
| PSV Eindhoven 3–1 Fortuna Sittard | 1.18–0.82 | 44% · 30% · 26% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Almere City FC | 1.25–0.88 | 45% · 29% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| Feyenoord 4–0 Vitesse | 2.82–0.12 | 92% · 7% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
| AZ Alkmaar 3–0 Heerenveen | 1.41–0.37 | 64% · 27% · 10% | Win in line with xG for AZ Alkmaar |
| Utrecht 4–3 Ajax | 2.03–1.74 | 45% · 21% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Utrecht |
| Heracles 2–2 Twente | 1.64–2.25 | 28% · 20% · 52% | Draw against the xG: Twente had 52% |
| Excelsior 2–4 PEC Zwolle | 2.17–1.16 | 60% · 20% · 20% | Won against the xG: PEC Zwolle |
| Go Ahead Eagles 0–0 Sparta Rotterdam | 0.72–0.57 | 35% · 40% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.