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9 of 9 matches with xG: 34 goals from 27.4 xG (1.24 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heerenveen 3–3 NAC Breda | 2.30–1.44 | 57% · 20% · 23% | Draw against the xG: Heerenveen had 57% |
| Fortuna Sittard 1–2 Groningen | 1.20–1.77 | 26% · 23% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Groningen |
| Sparta Rotterdam 1–0 Telstar | 1.79–0.63 | 65% · 22% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Sparta Rotterdam |
| FC Volendam 3–0 Heracles | 1.54–1.16 | 46% · 25% · 29% | Win in line with xG for FC Volendam |
| PEC Zwolle 2–2 NEC Nijmegen | 1.87–0.77 | 63% · 22% · 15% | Draw against the xG: PEC Zwolle had 63% |
| Twente 2–3 Ajax | 2.75–0.99 | 74% · 15% · 11% | Won against the xG: Ajax |
| Feyenoord 2–3 PSV Eindhoven | 1.14–1.16 | 35% · 28% · 36% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| AZ Alkmaar 4–1 Utrecht | 3.59–0.99 | 84% · 10% · 6% | Win in line with xG for AZ Alkmaar |
| Go Ahead Eagles 2–0 Excelsior | 1.81–0.54 | 68% · 21% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Go Ahead Eagles |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.