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9 of 9 matches with xG: 23 goals from 25.6 xG (0.90 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twente 0–0 Telstar | 1.75–0.63 | 64% · 23% · 13% | Draw against the xG: Twente had 64% |
| Excelsior 1–2 Heracles | 2.03–1.34 | 53% · 21% · 25% | Won against the xG: Heracles |
| FC Volendam 2–1 NAC Breda | 1.91–0.59 | 69% · 20% · 11% | Win in line with xG for FC Volendam |
| Fortuna Sittard 2–0 Heerenveen | 1.83–1.49 | 46% · 23% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Fortuna Sittard |
| PEC Zwolle 1–0 Sparta Rotterdam | 1.05–0.94 | 37% · 31% · 32% | Win in line with xG for PEC Zwolle |
| Utrecht 2–1 Ajax | 1.39–0.64 | 55% · 28% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Utrecht |
| NEC Nijmegen 2–0 Groningen | 1.57–1.38 | 42% · 24% · 34% | Win in line with xG for NEC Nijmegen |
| AZ Alkmaar 1–5 PSV Eindhoven | 0.28–2.39 | 3% · 12% · 85% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| Go Ahead Eagles 2–1 Feyenoord | 1.67–2.68 | 23% · 18% · 59% | Won against the xG: Go Ahead Eagles |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.