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Eredivisie 2025/2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 19

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Matches

Matchday 19 in xG

9 of 9 matches with xG: 36 goals from 25.9 xG (1.39 goals per xG).

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
Ajax 2–2 Go Ahead Eagles3.43–0.8685% · 10% · 6%Draw against the xG: Ajax had 85%
PEC Zwolle 3–1 AZ Alkmaar1.73–0.6165% · 23% · 13%Win in line with xG for PEC Zwolle
Excelsior 2–2 Telstar1.48–1.4439% · 25% · 37%Draw in line with xG
Fortuna Sittard 1–2 PSV Eindhoven0.33–3.032% · 8% · 90%Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven
NAC Breda 3–4 NEC Nijmegen0.82–1.1925% · 30% · 45%Win in line with xG for NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen 0–2 Groningen1.28–1.8726% · 23% · 51%Win in line with xG for Groningen
FC Volendam 2–1 Utrecht0.40–0.9315% · 37% · 47%Won against the xG: FC Volendam
Heracles 0–2 Twente0.70–2.538% · 15% · 77%Win in line with xG for Twente
Feyenoord 3–4 Sparta Rotterdam1.69–1.6040% · 23% · 37%Close call, Sparta Rotterdam won

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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Matchday 18 · Matchday 20

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