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9 of 9 matches with xG: 24 goals from 25.0 xG (0.96 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax 2–0 FC Volendam | 3.44–0.31 | 93% · 6% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Ajax |
| NEC Nijmegen 2–1 PEC Zwolle | 1.50–0.71 | 56% · 26% · 18% | Win in line with xG for NEC Nijmegen |
| PSV Eindhoven 2–2 NAC Breda | 1.79–1.50 | 45% · 23% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Twente 0–0 Excelsior | 1.20–0.99 | 41% · 29% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Telstar 0–1 AZ Alkmaar | 1.09–1.16 | 34% · 29% · 37% | Win in line with xG for AZ Alkmaar |
| Groningen 1–2 Fortuna Sittard | 2.42–0.80 | 73% · 16% · 10% | Won against the xG: Fortuna Sittard |
| Feyenoord 4–2 Heracles | 1.48–2.05 | 28% · 21% · 51% | Won against the xG: Feyenoord |
| Utrecht 0–1 Sparta Rotterdam | 1.40–0.59 | 57% · 28% · 16% | Won against the xG: Sparta Rotterdam |
| Go Ahead Eagles 1–3 Heerenveen | 0.77–1.82 | 15% · 22% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Heerenveen |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.