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9 of 9 matches with xG: 29 goals from 22.5 xG (1.29 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| NAC Breda 2–2 Twente | 1.26–1.63 | 30% · 24% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| AZ Alkmaar 1–3 NEC Nijmegen | 1.39–1.36 | 38% · 26% · 37% | Close call, NEC Nijmegen won |
| PEC Zwolle 4–1 Telstar | 2.85–1.75 | 61% · 17% · 22% | Win in line with xG for PEC Zwolle |
| Sparta Rotterdam 2–0 Groningen | 1.19–0.28 | 60% · 31% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Sparta Rotterdam |
| Excelsior 2–2 Ajax | 0.80–0.63 | 36% · 38% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| Heracles 2–1 Fortuna Sittard | 2.01–0.60 | 71% · 19% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Heracles |
| PSV Eindhoven 3–0 Feyenoord | 1.95–0.35 | 76% · 18% · 6% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| Heerenveen 1–1 Utrecht | 1.64–0.83 | 57% · 25% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Heerenveen had 57% |
| FC Volendam 1–1 Go Ahead Eagles | 1.22–0.80 | 46% · 30% · 24% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.