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9 of 9 matches with xG: 27 goals from 26.3 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| NAC Breda 0–2 Excelsior | 1.08–0.86 | 40% · 31% · 29% | Close call, Excelsior won |
| NEC Nijmegen 4–1 Heracles | 2.55–1.16 | 67% · 17% · 15% | Win in line with xG for NEC Nijmegen |
| PEC Zwolle 1–2 FC Volendam | 0.70–1.89 | 13% · 21% · 66% | Win in line with xG for FC Volendam |
| Twente 5–0 Heerenveen | 3.18–0.29 | 92% · 7% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Twente |
| Fortuna Sittard 2–2 Sparta Rotterdam | 0.99–1.31 | 28% · 28% · 44% | Draw in line with xG |
| Utrecht 0–1 Feyenoord | 1.06–0.95 | 38% · 31% · 32% | Close call, Feyenoord won |
| AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Ajax | 1.68–0.97 | 54% · 24% · 22% | Draw against the xG: AZ Alkmaar had 54% |
| Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 Telstar | 2.45–1.57 | 57% · 19% · 24% | Draw against the xG: Go Ahead Eagles had 57% |
| Groningen 1–2 PSV Eindhoven | 0.89–2.74 | 10% · 14% · 76% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.