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9 of 9 matches with xG: 26 goals from 25.2 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Volendam 2–1 PSV Eindhoven | 1.18–1.69 | 27% · 24% · 49% | Won against the xG: FC Volendam |
| Heracles 0–1 NAC Breda | 1.12–1.26 | 33% · 28% · 40% | Win in line with xG for NAC Breda |
| Excelsior 1–2 AZ Alkmaar | 0.75–2.01 | 13% · 20% · 67% | Win in line with xG for AZ Alkmaar |
| Ajax 4–1 Fortuna Sittard | 1.18–0.84 | 44% · 30% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Ajax |
| Groningen 1–2 Utrecht | 0.78–2.44 | 10% · 16% · 74% | Win in line with xG for Utrecht |
| Feyenoord 1–0 Go Ahead Eagles | 2.99–0.12 | 93% · 6% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
| Heerenveen 4–2 PEC Zwolle | 1.58–1.19 | 46% · 25% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Heerenveen |
| Telstar 1–1 Twente | 1.32–2.03 | 25% · 21% · 54% | Draw against the xG: Twente had 54% |
| Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 NEC Nijmegen | 1.70–0.99 | 54% · 24% · 22% | Draw against the xG: Sparta Rotterdam had 54% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.