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9 of 9 matches with xG: 26 goals from 26.0 xG (1.00 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Sittard 2–1 Excelsior | 1.93–1.23 | 54% · 22% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Fortuna Sittard |
| PSV Eindhoven 3–1 Heerenveen | 3.27–1.28 | 76% · 13% · 11% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| NAC Breda 1–0 FC Volendam | 1.39–0.52 | 59% · 28% · 14% | Win in line with xG for NAC Breda |
| Ajax 1–1 NEC Nijmegen | 1.48–1.16 | 45% · 26% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Twente 2–1 Groningen | 0.78–0.92 | 29% · 34% · 37% | Close call, Twente won |
| Go Ahead Eagles 4–0 Heracles | 2.60–0.80 | 76% · 15% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Go Ahead Eagles |
| Utrecht 1–1 PEC Zwolle | 2.11–0.85 | 66% · 20% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Utrecht had 66% |
| AZ Alkmaar 3–1 Sparta Rotterdam | 1.39–0.91 | 48% · 27% · 25% | Win in line with xG for AZ Alkmaar |
| Feyenoord 2–1 Telstar | 2.09–1.27 | 56% · 21% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.